Tuesday, June 04, 2013

Position Paper: Should Electoral College be Abolished?

The Electoral College is the name for the electors who formally choose the President and Vice President of the United States. Each of the states receives a certain number of electors, which is determined by the total number of Senators and Representatives it sends to the U.S. Congress. Therefore, each state has at least 3 electors. The Electoral College was devised by the Constitutional Convention as a procedure to elect the President by the people, at least indirectly.
When the Constitutional Convention chose a method of selecting a President, they took several problems into consideration. The first problem they had to solve was the lack of information that the people had due to poor communication. At the time the U.S. contained approximately 4 million people who lived spread apart along the Atlantic coast with very little communication or transportation. This made it difficult for the people to choose a President from a list of people that they knew little about. Another reason was the direct election of the President would give them much power.
After choosing the Electoral College as the method of selecting the President, the Framers described it in Article II, Section 1 of the Constitution. In this new procedure, the process of choosing the electors was left to the states, in order to eliminate the states’ suspicion of the federal government and members of Congress. Employees of the government were not allowed to serve as Electors. In order to prevent bribery and secret dealings, Electors from each state were required to meet in their own states rather than all together in one large meeting. Also, the Framers tried to prevent the possibility of having no majority by requiring that each Elector vote for two candidates, one of which had to be from outside their state. The person with the majority would become President, while the runner up would become Vice President. If there was no majority the election would be turned over to the House and they would select the President.
The Electoral College is not an efficient way to vote at this time because everyone can access information on the internet, television, radio, or in the press. There is no excuse to be uninformed about the candidates for President or Vice President.
In order to change the way the President is elected, it would require changing the Constitution. Amending the United States Constitution is not a small task. From the article, “The Electoral College”, there are essentially two ways to amend the Constitution. The first method is for a bill to pass both houses of the legislature, by a two-thirds majority in each. Once the bill has passed both houses, it goes on to the states. It has to pass three-fourth of the states to become a law. The second method prescribed is for a Constitutional Convention to be called by two-thirds of the legislatures of the States, and for that Convention to propose one or more amendments. These amendments are then sent to the states to be approved by three-fourths of the legislatures or conventions. The first method is the one that is commonly used.
Although there is a legal way to solve the problem, debates about the Electoral College will never end. According to the Should Electoral College be Eliminated?” article on Creators.com, Presidents Richard Nixon and Jimmy Carter both supported proposals to eliminate the Electoral College and replace it with a direct popular election, with a runoff between the top two candidates if none received at least 40 percent of the vote. The most recent example of the power of the Electoral College to elect the President and Vice President is the election of 2000, in which Al Gore won the national popular vote but lost to George W. Bush in the electoral vote.
Although Al Gore lost less than 4% of the popular vote in Florida, New Hampshire, Missouri, Ohio, Nevada and Tennessee (his home state), he lost all the popular votes in those states. If Al Gore had won any of those small, insignificant three-vote states, he would have been President. However, according to Matthew Venia, a writer for Helium online newspaper, it shows that “the Electoral College did its job.”
If we were to change and go with just the popular vote half of the states would become irrelevant. All a politician would have to do is campaign in California, Texas, New York, Florida, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and Georgia to reach 50% of the nation. If a politician could get half of Cal, Tex, NY, FL and Ill to vote for them they would have as many votes as Al Gore had in 2000. With just a popular vote only about a dozen cities would need to be visited: LA, NY, Houston, Miami, Chicago, Philly, and a few others. No need to visit small cities like Pierre, Green Bay, or even Portland. (Should the Electoral College Be Abolished?”)
Venia’s solution to adjust the number of votes each state gets is using the Banzhaf Power Index. It measures how much power an individual has in swinging a particular contest. In the current system California measures 3.4 and New York 2.4 while Oregon is 1.2 and Kentucky is 1.2. In other words a vote cast in New York is twice as likely to affect the outcome as a vote in Oregon or Kentucky. California is three times as likely.
"We are a very different country than we were 200 years ago,” said Senator-elect Hillary Clinton.
I believe strongly that in a democracy, we should respect the will of the people and to me, that means it's time to do away with the Electoral College and move to the popular election of our President. I hope no one is ever in doubt again about whether their vote counts. (“Hillary Calls For End To Electoral College”).
Another reform worth serious consideration is for all states to do as Maine and Nebraska do, awarding electoral votes by congressional district.
Corbin Pon, in his article “Electoral College should be eliminated,” says that the Electoral College needs to be thrown out for the 2012 election and simply replaced by a nation-wide popular vote. Pon goes on to explain that United States citizens have the resources, so the voting infrastructure would not need to be changed. They have the models, as large states like California have no serious issue running popular vote elections for their chief executive officers. They have the motivation, as the smothering embers of the Gore vs. Bush Presidential election still flare up now and again with the fact that Gore lost while holding the popular vote.
Jeffry R. Fisher, a computer programmer who has been writing as an "aspiring statesman,” says that the ways to reform the Electoral College are:
1.            Don't allow states to bind electors to a particular candidate; require a secret ballot by electors,
2.            Don’t allow candidates to select electors. Every elector would become a candidate, and every Presidential hopeful would need to first prevail as an elector. Nobody would really know until after the election who the final candidates would be,
3.            Use approval voting at all stages. With approval voting for electors, the two party strangleholds on power would evaporate. With approval voting among electors, there would always be a winner, so we could eliminate all the rules about sending the election to the House of Representatives.
One of the writers of Helium online newspaper, Matthew Venia, says, “Refined, yes. Abolished, no.” He explains that the Electoral College does serve the important purpose of making votes in “flyover country” count. The idea is every state casts a ballot with size based on population. Therefore the smaller states aren't completely ignored, but the larger states do, rightfully, earn more attention. (Should the Electoral College Be Abolished?”)
Paul Shlesinger, a consultant from Virginia, who is involved primarily with the Federal government, assisting them in commercial services management, public policy, and quality assurance initiatives, says that while the Electoral College system is not perfect, it should not be abolished. Although people point out the disadvantages of the Electoral College, it is important to consider the advantages. The Electoral College is fair, simply due to the fact that the rules are known upfront. Candidates know that the only thing that counts is how many electors they end up with. They campaign based on it, and they make all their decisions with full knowledge of the rules. The Electoral College system acts as a stabilizing force. What this means is that candidates competing for electors are pulled more to the middle on issues, which helps to avoid radical, destabilizing change. In a purely popular vote system, candidates would focus on heavy population centers where the most votes could be gained. The Electoral College system, however, forces candidates to compete in states where the population is closely divided politically. The system rewards the candidate that can win independents and moderate voters. This reduces the likelihood that a candidate holding extreme views will succeed. Another benefit is that the Electoral College system ensures that non-voters are fairly represented. The point here is that the biggest benefit to the Electoral College is its ability to handle rare events that the Government may not have even considered before.
Although the Electoral College has always been the way to vote for President and Vice President, it does not mean that the Electoral College is the way to do it forever considering the development of the country. In contrast to the statement that the Electoral College system ensures that non-voters are fairly represented, non-voters consciously choose not to be represented by not voting. The Electoral College makes sense in the condition of a lack of information, but for today, there is no excuse to uninformed about the candidates for President or Vice President. A popular vote is more fair and effective than a vote by the Electoral College.








WORKS CITED
Fisher, Jeffry R. "Should the Electoral College Be Abolished? - by Jeffry R Fisher - Helium." Helium - Where Knowledge Rules. Helium, Inc. Web. 15 Mar. 2010. .
"Hillary Calls For End To Electoral College - CBS News." Breaking News Headlines: Business, Entertainment & World News - CBS News. The Associated Press, 20 Nov. 2000. Web. 23 Feb. 2010. .
Pon, Corbin. "Electoral College should be eliminated - October 31, 2008 -." Technique - The South's Liveliest College Newspaper. Georgia Institute of Technology, 31 Oct. 2008. Web. 26 Feb. 2010. .
Shlesinger, Paul. "Should the Electoral College Be Abolished? - by Paul Shlesinger - Helium." Helium - Where Knowledge Rules. Helium Inc. Web. 04 Mar. 2010. .
"Should Electoral College be Eliminated? by Newspaper Contributors on Creators.com - A Syndicate Of Talent." Creators Syndicate - The Best Content in The World. Ed. Creators Syndicate. Creators Syndicate. Web. 23 Feb. 2010. .
"The Electoral College." Electoral-vote.com: Election news. Web. 23 Feb. 2010. .

Venia, Matthew. "Should the Electoral College Be Abolished? - by Matthew Venia - Helium." Helium - Where Knowledge Rules. Helium, Inc. Web. 15 Mar. 2010. .

English-4 Class.

5 comments:

  1. The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in the country.

    Every vote, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in presidential elections. No more distorting and divisive red and blue state maps. There would no longer be a handful of 'battleground' states where voters and policies are more important than those of the voters in 80% of the states that now are just 'spectators' and ignored after the conventions.

    When the bill is enacted by states with a majority of the electoral votes– enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538), all the electoral votes from the enacting states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in the country.

    The presidential election system that we have today was not designed, anticipated, or favored by the Founding Fathers but, instead, is the product of decades of evolutionary change precipitated by the emergence of political parties and enactment by 48 states of winner-take-all laws, not mentioned, much less endorsed, in the Constitution.

    The bill uses the power given to each state by the Founding Fathers in the Constitution to change how they award their electoral votes for President. Historically, virtually all of the major changes in the method of electing the President, including ending the requirement that only men who owned substantial property could vote and 48 current state-by-state winner-take-all laws, have come about by state legislative action.

    In Gallup polls since 1944, only about 20% of the public has supported the current system of awarding all of a state's electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most votes in each separate state (with about 70% opposed and about 10% undecided). Support for a national popular vote is strong among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group in virtually every state surveyed in recent polls in recent closely divided Battleground states: CO – 68%, FL – 78%, IA 75%, MI – 73%, MO – 70%, NH – 69%, NV – 72%, NM– 76%, NC – 74%, OH – 70%, PA – 78%, VA – 74%, and WI – 71%; in Small states (3 to 5 electoral votes): AK – 70%, DC – 76%, DE – 75%, ID – 77%, ME – 77%, MT – 72%, NE 74%, NH – 69%, NV – 72%, NM – 76%, OK – 81%, RI – 74%, SD – 71%, UT – 70%, VT – 75%, WV – 81%, and WY – 69%; in Southern and Border states: AR – 80%, KY- 80%, MS – 77%, MO – 70%, NC – 74%, OK – 81%, SC – 71%, TN – 83%, VA – 74%, and WV – 81%; and in other states polled: AZ – 67%, CA – 70%, CT – 74%, MA – 73%, MN – 75%, NY – 79%, OR – 76%, and WA – 77%. Americans believe that the candidate who receives the most votes should win.

    The bill has passed 31 state legislative chambers in 21 states with 243 electoral votes. The bill has been enacted by 9 jurisdictions with 132 electoral votes - 49% of the 270 necessary to go into effect.

    NationalPopularVote

    Follow National Popular Vote on Facebook via NationalPopularVoteInc

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  2. With the current state-by-state winner-take-all system of awarding electoral votes, it could only take winning a bare plurality of popular votes in the 11 most populous states, containing 56% of the population of the United States, for a candidate to win the Presidency with a mere 23% of the nation's votes!

    But the political reality is that the 11 largest states rarely agree on any political question. In terms of recent presidential elections, the 11 largest states include five "red states (Texas, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Georgia) and six "blue" states (California, New York, Illinois, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and New Jersey). The fact is that the big states are just about as closely divided as the rest of the country. For example, among the four largest states, the two largest Republican states (Texas and Florida) generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Bush, while the two largest Democratic states generated a total margin of 2.1 million votes for Kerry.

    In 2004, among the 11 most populous states, in the seven non-battleground states, % of winning party, and margin of “wasted” popular votes, from among the total 122 Million votes cast nationally:
    * Texas (62% Republican), 1,691,267
    * New York (59% Democratic), 1,192,436
    * Georgia (58% Republican), 544,634
    * North Carolina (56% Republican), 426,778
    * California (55% Democratic), 1,023,560
    * Illinois (55% Democratic), 513,342
    * New Jersey (53% Democratic), 211,826

    To put these numbers in perspective, Oklahoma (7 electoral votes) alone generated a margin of 455,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004 -- larger than the margin generated by the 9th and 10th largest states, namely New Jersey and North Carolina (each with 15 electoral votes). Utah (5 electoral votes) alone generated a margin of 385,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004. 8 small western states, with less than a third of California’s population, provided Bush with a bigger margin (1,283,076) than California provided Kerry (1,235,659).

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  3. With National Popular Vote, big cities would not get all of candidates’ attention, much less control the outcome.

    The population of the top five cities (New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston and Philadelphia) is only 6% of the population of the United States and the population of the top 50 cities (going as far down as Arlington, TX) is only 15% of the population of the United States.

    Suburbs and exurbs often vote Republican.

    If big cities controlled the outcome of elections, the governors and U.S. Senators would be Democratic in virtually every state with a significant city.

    A nationwide presidential campaign, with every vote equal, would be run the way presidential candidates campaign to win the electoral votes of closely divided battleground states, such as Ohio and Florida, under the state-by-state winner-take-all methods. The big cities in those battleground states do not receive all the attention, much less control the outcome. Cleveland and Miami do not receive all the attention or control the outcome in Ohio and Florida.

    The itineraries of presidential candidates in battleground states (and their allocation of other campaign resources in battleground states) reflect the political reality that every gubernatorial or senatorial candidate knows. When and where every vote is equal, a campaign must be run everywhere.

    With National Popular Vote, when every vote is equal, everywhere, it makes sense for presidential candidates to try and elevate their votes where they are and aren't so well liked. But, under the state-by-state winner-take-all laws, it makes no sense for a Democrat to try and do that in Vermont or Wyoming, or for a Republican to try it in Wyoming or Vermont.

    Even in California state-wide elections, candidates for governor or U.S. Senate don't campaign just in Los Angeles and San Francisco, and those places don't control the outcome (otherwise California wouldn't have recently had Republican governors Reagan, Dukemejian, Wilson, and Schwarzenegger). A vote in rural Alpine county is just an important as a vote in Los Angeles. If Los Angeles cannot control statewide elections in California, it can hardly control a nationwide election.

    In fact, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Jose, and Oakland together cannot control a statewide election in California.

    Similarly, Republicans dominate Texas politics without carrying big cities such as Dallas and Houston.

    There are numerous other examples of Republicans who won races for governor and U.S. Senator in other states that have big cities (e.g., New York, Illinois, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Massachusetts) without ever carrying the big cities of their respective states.

    With a national popular vote, every vote everywhere will be equally important politically. There will be nothing special about a vote cast in a big city or big state. When every vote is equal, candidates of both parties will seek out voters in small, medium, and large towns throughout the states in order to win. A vote cast in a big city or state will be equal to a vote cast in a small state, town, or rural area.

    Candidates would need to build a winning coalition across demographics. Candidates would have to appeal to a broad range of demographics, and perhaps even more so, because the election wouldn’t be capable of coming down to just one demographic, such as waitress mom voters in Ohio.

    With National Popular Vote, every vote, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in presidential elections. Wining states would not be the goal. Candidates would need to care about voters across the nation, not just undecided voters in the current handful of swing states.

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  4. Anyone concerned about the relative power of big states and small states should realize that the current system shifts power from voters in the small and medium-small states to voters in the current handful of big states.

    Now political clout comes from being among the handful of battleground states. 80% of states and voters are ignored by presidential campaigns.

    Winner-take-all laws negate any simplistic mathematical equations about the relative power of states based on their number of residents per electoral vote. Small state math means absolutely nothing to presidential campaigns and to presidents once in office.

    In 2008, of the 25 smallest states (with a total of 155 electoral votes), 18 received no attention at all from presidential campaigns after the conventions. Of the seven smallest states with any post-convention visits, Only 4 of the smallest states - NH (12 events), NM (8), NV (12), and IA (7) - got the outsized attention of 39 of the 43 total events in the 25 smallest states. In contrast, Ohio (with only 20 electoral votes) was lavishly wooed with 62 of the total 300 post-convention campaign events in the whole country.

    In the 25 smallest states in 2008, the Democratic and Republican popular vote was almost tied (9.9 million versus 9.8 million), as was the electoral vote (57 versus 58).

    In 2012, 24 of the nation's 27 smallest states received no attention at all from presidential campaigns after the conventions.- including not a single dollar in presidential campaign ad money after Mitt Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee on April 11. They were ignored despite their supposed numerical advantage in the Electoral College. In fact, the 8.6 million eligible voters in Ohio received more campaign ads and campaign visits from the major party campaigns than the 42 million eligible voters in those 27 smallest states combined.

    Now with state-by-state winner-take-all laws (not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, but since enacted by 48 states), presidential elections ignore 12 of the 13 lowest population states (3-4 electoral votes), that are non-competitive in presidential elections. 6 regularly vote Republican (AK, ID, MT, WY, ND, and SD), and 6 regularly vote Democratic (RI, DE, HI, VT, ME, and DC) in presidential elections. Voters in states that are reliably red or blue don't matter. Candidates ignore those states and the issues they care about most.

    Support for a national popular vote is strong in every smallest state surveyed in recent polls among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group. Support in smaller states (3 to 5 electoral votes): AK -70%, DC -76%, DE --75%, ID -77%, ME - 77%, MT- 72%, NE - 74%, NH--69%, NE - 72%, NM - 76%, RI - 74%, SD- 71%, UT- 70%, VT - 75%, WV- 81%, and WY- 69%.

    Among the 13 lowest population states, the National Popular Vote bill has passed in nine state legislative chambers, and been enacted by 3 jurisdictions.

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  5. Dividing more states’ electoral votes by congressional district winners would magnify the worst features of the Electoral College
    system.

    If the district approach were used nationally, it would be less fair and less accurately reflect the will of the people than the current
    system. In 2004, Bush won 50.7% of the popular vote, but 59% of the districts. Although Bush lost the national popular vote in 2000, he won 55% of the country's congressional districts.

    The district approach would not provide incentive for presidential candidates to campaign in a particular state or focus the candidates' attention to issues of concern to the state. With the 48 state-by-state winner-take-all laws (whether applied to either
    districts or states), candidates have no reason to campaign in districts or states where they are comfortably ahead or hopelessly behind. In North Carolina, for example, there are only 2 districts (the 13th with a 5% spread and the 2nd with an 8% spread) where the presidential race is competitive. Nationwide, there have been only 55 "battleground" districts that were competitive in presidential elections. With the present deplorable 48 state-level winner-take-all system, 80% of the states (including California and Texas) are ignored in presidential elections; however, 88% of the nation's congressional districts would be ignored if a district-level winner-take-all system were used nationally.

    Awarding electoral votes by congressional district could result in third party candidates winning electoral votes that would deny either
    major party candidate the necessary majority vote of electors and throw the process into Congress to decide.

    Because there are generally more close votes on district levels than states as whole, district elections increase the opportunity for error. The larger the voting base, the less opportunity there is for an especially close vote.

    With a congressional district method, a second-place candidate could still win the White House without winning the national popular vote.

    A national popular vote is the way to make every person's vote equal and matter to their candidate because it guarantees that the candidate who gets the most votes in all 50 states and DC becomes President.

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